adjective
conjectural
kuhn-JEK-chur-uhl/kənˈdʒektʃərəl/
Based on guesswork rather than firm evidence.
The vessel reconstructions are conjectural, based on just one small fragment.

Etymology
“Throwing together” became an image for assembling facts into an interpretation or inference. Conjectural describes something resting on such a guess rather than certain evidence.
In context
the whole theory of fraud was purely conjectural there was not a single particle of direct evidence
More examples
- The budget figures are conjectural because several costs are unknown.
- Her conjectural account of the city's founding draws on local legends.
- Until researchers find more evidence, their conclusions remain conjectural.
Forms
conjectural
conjecture noun — A conclusion reached without firm evidence.
conjecturally adverb — Through guesswork rather than firm evidence.
Similar words
- speculative
- Often emphasizes exploring possibilities rather than drawing unsupported conclusions.
- hypothetical
- Describes something assumed for discussion, not necessarily a guess.