DictionarysurmiseGuess from limited evidence
noun / verb

surmise

ser-MYZE/sərˈmaɪz/

A guess based on incomplete evidence, or to make such a guess.

She studies the wet footprints and umbrella to surmise what happened.

A person studies wet footprints by an open umbrella and looks thoughtfully toward the rainy doorway, inferring what happened.
Etymology

“Put upon” underlies the older meaning “accuse,” or lay a charge upon someone. The noun shifted from an allegation to a thought lacking certain evidence, giving the verb its modern sense of guessing.

In context

LibriVox Audiobooks217:06
The mystery of this non-interference is unexplained and I can only surmise that a few tired troops had got left behind
Everyman at War. Sixty Personal Narratives of the War by Charles B. Purdom Part 1/3 | Audio Book

More examples

  • His explanation was only a surmise.
  • We can surmise what happened, but the evidence is incomplete.
  • The detective’s surmise proved correct.

Forms

surmise · surmises · surmised · surmising

Similar words

conjecture
Conjecture is an inference without firm proof; surmise often suggests a tentative conclusion from a few clues.
suppose
Suppose accepts or proposes a possibility; surmise particularly infers it from incomplete evidence.